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One Health network for the prevention of vector-borne diseases around the Mediterranean and Sahel regions

> Early Warning System and Modelling

Early Warning System & Modelling

A new technical component  that aims at integrating environmental and ecological features in the development of emerging infections’ risk assessment and early warning tools has been included in MediLabSecure. This working group will characterize and analyse environmental and ecological features, including climate data. These will be used to identify at risk geographical areas and seasonality for potential outbreaks of the disesase under study by MediLabSecure, with the objective to develop tools for integrated early warning.
This new part of the project is being implemented by Avia-GIS, a Belgian SME. This SME specializes in the collection, processing and analysis of spatial information as a basis for the development of software products and tools for risk mapping and integrated pest management focusing on (emerging) vector-borne diseases (VBDs) and applied to human, veterinary and public health.
Avia-GIS has already collaborated in the first phase of the project with the establishment of a spatial database of area-wide data sets covering all MediLabSecure participating countries and using Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus as an example.


In the second phase, WP5 will build further on this to achieve the broader objectives of WP5, which are to: (a) Establish an environmental database of publicly and in-country available indicators (spatial data sets) and complement these with data provided through other WPs on vectors, pathogens and hosts; (b) Train through workshops and e-learning MediLabSecure participants in using these data to assess risk of vector-borne diseases in their countries, and; (c) Develop a prototype web-based early warning system (WEWS), conduct pilots in three MediLabSecure countries and train MediLabSecure participants to use this system.

This group is led by Guy Hendrickx at Avia-GIS


planned activities

In practice, the Early Warning System & Modelling working group will proceed in several steps.

  • During the first year of the project , this working group will:

    1. Refine, standardise and share the environmental-dataset per country and integrate:
    a. For all countries: data on vectors, pathogens and hosts
    b. For pilot countries: data on health and veterinary networks as well as relevant port of entries collected by WP5 in collaboration with MediLabSecure country participants
    2. Use these data as a basis to demonstrate the potential of a WEWS during the first workshop organised at the Kick-Off meeting (one example in each of the three MediLabSecure regions)
    3. After the Kick-Off Meeting, the working group will start developing the WEWS, using the three pilot countries as an example, with feedback from the MediLabSecure country representatives who expressed interest at the Kick-Off Meeting

  • During the second year of the project, this working group will:

    1. Further develop the WEWS. A baseline version of the WEWS will be ready by the first MediLabSecure regional meeting and the advanced version will be ready by the second MediLabSecure regional meeting.
    2. Organise workshops to sensitize and demonstrate the WEWS at each of the regional MediLabSecure meetings.

  • During the third year of the project, this working group will:

    1. Organise start-up WEWS workshops in each of the three MediLabSecure pilot countries
    2. Follow-up WEWS pilots in each of the three MediLabSecure countries using e-platform
    3. Finalise the WEWS
    4. Present the final version of the WEWS during dedicated workshops (one per MediLabSecure country region) organized at the final MediLabSecure meeting

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